Election Day in the US Tomorrow: Key Races in New York, New Jersey, and Virginia

As the United States prepares for Election Day on November 4, 2025, voters will participate in a series of crucial local and statewide elections. Key contests include the gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, a high-profile mayoral race in New York City, and various ballot proposals, notably a redistricting referendum in California.

Key Details

Tomorrow"s elections will see significant races that could impact the political landscape in several states. In New Jersey, Democrat Mikie Sherrill is facing off against Republican Jack Ciattarelli. Historically, New Jersey has leaned Democratic, but recent trends indicate a tightening race. In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden won New Jersey by nearly one million votes, yet in the 2024 election, Donald Trump only lost the state by five points, suggesting a shift in voter sentiment.

Polling indicates that Sherrill is expected to win by a margin of approximately 3-5 points, although an upset is possible given Ciattarelli"s strong campaign efforts.

Virginia"s statewide elections are also drawing attention, particularly the gubernatorial race between Democrat Abigail Spanberger and Republican Winsome Earle-Sears. Spanberger, a former CIA officer and member of Congress since the 2018 midterms, is viewed as a moderate within the Democratic Party. She has previously criticized the progressive wing of her party, particularly after the 2020 elections. Current forecasts suggest Spanberger will win by a comfortable margin of 8-11 points, providing a much-needed boost to Democratic morale amid challenges from both the GOP and leftist factions.

In the Attorney General race in Virginia, Democrat Jay Jones is competing against incumbent Republican Jason Miyares. The race has gained attention due to controversy surrounding Jones, who faced backlash after texts emerged in which he made inflammatory remarks about a GOP politician"s children. Despite this scandal, Jones is still expected to narrowly win, with predictions placing him ahead by 1-3 points. A victory for Jones could enable Virginia Democrats to redraw congressional districts, potentially leading to partisan gerrymandering similar to efforts in California and Texas.

In New York City, the mayoral race is particularly noteworthy. Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani, who previously defeated former Governor Andrew Cuomo in the primary, is running against Cuomo and Republican Curtis Sliwa. This race is seen as a critical test for the Democratic Socialists of America and a significant challenge to the Democratic establishment. Polling suggests Mamdani is leading with approximately 46% of the vote, while Cuomo trails at 32% and Sliwa at 16%. However, past polling has underestimated Mamdani"s support, and he could potentially secure between 50-58% of the final vote.

Despite the support from some New York Republican officials for Cuomo, he has been unable to persuade Sliwa to withdraw from the race. Allegations have surfaced that influential figures, including billionaire Bill Ackman, have attempted to bribe Sliwa to step aside, but he has remained steadfast in his candidacy.

In California, a significant ballot proposal is expected to pass, allowing for the redistricting of congressional districts, which could further marginalize Republican representation in the state. This initiative is anticipated to receive strong voter support, reflecting ongoing partisan divisions in the state.

Background

Election Day is a critical moment in the American political calendar, often serving as a bellwether for future elections. The outcomes of these races could have far-reaching implications for party dynamics and electoral strategies leading into the next national elections.

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What"s Next

The results of these elections will not only determine local leadership but also set the stage for future political battles, particularly in the context of redistricting and party positioning ahead of the 2026 congressional elections. As previously reported, the implications of these races could reshape the political landscape in New Jersey, Virginia, and New York City, influencing national trends and voter engagement moving forward.