Russian forces are advancing towards the strategic town of Pokrovskoye, threatening the Ukrainian-controlled city of Gulyaipole. This development comes as Ukrainian positions west of the Vovcha River in Area 1 are becoming increasingly isolated.
Reports indicate that Russian troops are making steady progress in Area 2, aiming to capture key logistical hubs such as Velykomykhailovka. Control of these areas would allow Russian forces to mount a coordinated assault on Gulyaipole from multiple directions, significantly increasing their operational effectiveness.
Currently, Russian units are advancing downhill towards Gulyaipole, reminiscent of their previous operations near Ugledar. If they succeed in crossing the Yanchur River and establishing a foothold, the city could be encircled, jeopardizing Ukrainian supply lines similar to the situation seen in Pokrovsk-Myrnograd.
The outcome of this operation may hinge on developments at other fronts, particularly in Novopavlovka to the northeast. Should Ukraine"s defenses in Pokrovskoye weaken, Russian forces may need to collapse the Novopavlovka salient to secure their position. However, advancing north of the Vovcha River could prove challenging due to the strategic placement of Mezhevaya, complicating the timeline for these operations. For more on this ongoing situation, see our recent developments.